Saturday, August 25, 2007

B.A.'s offensive outlook on upcoming Yankees-Tigers series, game 2

I managed to get my anger out by putting a big loan shark behind bars while avoiding capture by the MPs. Of course, the client stiffed us. Hannibal has turned the A-Team into the C-Team. C being for cheap, charity, and crap. But anyway, that just piles onto how fucking pissed I am about how this week has gone for the Yankees. Second time this week the Yankees have lost an extra-inning game. Fucking Magglio Ordonez and his .383 BA/BIP. And his PrBA of .297. And his PrOPS of .898. The guy has always been a very good hitter. There's no doubt about that. But come on, NOTHING will go wrong for him this year. It's not even like he's knocking the cover off the ball. Only 18.4% of the balls he puts in play are line drives. Well below a lot of other hitters. He and Curtis Granderson lead the AL with their .137 OPS over-performance. I mean, you can talk about how Posada's getting lucky and all that shit, which is partially true. But at least Posada is 5th in the league in line drive percentage at 22.7%. Ordonez isn't even close to the top of the league. His check swing little piece of crap over Cano's head extending inning for Guillen to drive one over the wall in left made me wanna drive my mohawked head of iron through the concrete wall. The Yankees never catch a break this year. That's why their fucking Pythagorean win/loss is 6 games better than their actual win/loss. And if they do catch breaks, it's always in bunches. That's what happened when they were OPSing .953 as a team over that one stretch. They were finally catching some breaks in addition to hitting well (they were all hitting HRs like crazy in that stretch too). Ugh, anyway. Here's the outlook for game 2.

Yankees facing Jeremy Bonderman
Bonderman after his fantastic start, like last year, has sucked in the second half. In his last 35.1 innings, he's surrendered 7 homers after allowing just 13 in 119.2 innings. His control's been erratic, too. 15 of his 40 walks on the season came over those 35.1 innings. Righties and lefties are pretty similar against him in terms of BA and OBA but lefties hit for better power off him. Righties are .270/.312/.393 off him while lefties are .270/.317/.468. The IsoP of .198 jumps out at you, as he's allowed 14 HR, 22 2B and 2 3B to lefties in 344 AB this year. This is no anomoly. It's historically true as well that lefties own him, as from 2004-2006 lefties have a .276/.340/.464 line off him. So, tonight, Giambi, Damon, and Betemit should start, and of course Abreu. This should strengthen a team of guys who have .319/.388/.505 line in 188 AB off him.

The Yankees have to win this game. They own Bonderman. They have Wang going, although he's on the road which concerns me a bit. The Red Sox are playing the embarrassingly bad White Sox and raping them. The Mariners and their overachieving by 7 wins seem to get every damn break going as far back as Gerry "Blumpkin" Davis's awful call back in May that fucked the Yankees over. They have to win the next three games. It's going to be tough to win Monday with Mussina going, although I read in the Post that he thinks he found a solution in his last bullpen session. I hope so, because Mike Mussina in his last 2 outings has been retire-when-you-get-back-to-the-dugout-after-Torre-takes-the-ball-from-you bad. Let's go Yankees.

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