Showing posts with label b.a. tired. Show all posts
Showing posts with label b.a. tired. Show all posts

Sunday, May 18, 2008

I want this baseball season to fucking die, and while we're at it, throw Joel Sherman in there

This season better turn around soon. I am so fucking sick of everything that just continues to go wrong. And it gets worse when I see pointless, moronic drivel like this.

The Yanks felt confident in those choices (not trading for Santana), believing Pettitte was as close to a 15-win safety net as existed. He was the steady, high-end innings eater who was going to make it possible for Phil Hughes and Ian Kennedy to apprentice within a rotation.

Except here we are in May and Hughes is hurt, Kennedy is winless and Pettitte is at five weeks without a victory. Here is Pettitte less reliable than Darrell Rasner. Here is Pettitte losing a Subway Series showdown to a homer-prone Santana. Pettitte traditionally has improved as the season has gone along and that must be true this season. Or else how do the Yanks revive?

Yes, it's all Andy Pettitte's fault that he hasn't won a game since April 20th. He didn't pitch into the seventh inning on May 6th having allowed just 2 runs with a lead. David Delucci didn't cheat on a Joba fastball and hit a 336 foot 3 run pop up in the 8th inning. As far as those other starts go, fair enough. He didn't pitch well against Tampa Bay, Detroit, or Cleveland the other time he faced them.

But you want to attack him for yesterday's game?

Pettitte has been betrayed by the same difficulty each time: He opens well (five strikeouts of the first seven batters yesterday) and then blows up for an inning in mid-game.

He was not hit hard during the Mets' three-run, bat-around fourth - in fact, Santana was hit harder overall than Pettitte. But Pettitte couldn't find the big out, limit his pitch count (he threw 41 in that inning) or go deep enough to keep Kyle Farnsworth from all but assuring defeat by yielding two homers in the seventh.

He couldn't get the big out. I'm not sure that falls under the job description for pitchers. Let's look at what Wikipedia says about the object of pitching:

"In most cases, the object of a pitch is to deliver the ball to the catcher without allowing the batter to hit the ball. The ball is delivered in such a way that the batter either can't hit a pitch through the strike zone, hits the ball poorly (resulting in a pop fly or ground out), or is fooled into swinging at a pitch outside of the strike zone."

The pitcher's job is to either make the batter swing and miss, or "hit the ball poorly". So, understanding the objective of each pitch, let me paraphrase that last paragraph:

Andy Pettitte did his job during the Mets' three-run, bat-around fourth - in fact, Santana did not do his job as well as Pettitte. But a lot of the weakly hit balls Pettitte induced that inning dropped in front of outfielders or snuck through holes in the infield. That's his fault. Since Pettitte, essentially, had no luck, he was forced to throw a lot more pitches than he should have. And that is also his fault. Because of course, Andy Nostradamus Pettitte knew Kyle Farnsworth would come in and give up a solo and a 2-run home run. He also knew the Yankees hitters would not do their jobs, which is also his fault. Damn you, Andy. How dare you be toast after 6 innings because you did your job well with no luck?

Now, don't you feel like an idiot? Probably not, because you're a moron. Otherwise there wouldn't be a post about you on PWNAGE of Morons.

Santana has not pitched very well, yet is 5-2 and his history - like that of Pettitte - is to excel in the second half. His presence in Yankee Stadium as a winning pitcher, for the Mets, certainly provides Hank Steinbrenner more "told-you-so" ammunition.


Fuck the "told-you-so" crap. It's way too early for that. I don't care how Kennedy and Hughes have been pitching so far. It was still the right call not to trade away the package the Twins were demanding. Ian Kennedy and Phil Hughes both ripped through the minors and showed capability of success at the major league level. Remember Phil Hughes' September and postseason last year at age 21?

35.1 IP
24/10 K/BB
2.55 ERA
1.075 WHIP

Anyone remember Ian Kennedy's September last year?

19 IP
15 K/9 BB
1.89 ERA
1.158 WHIP

They are better pitchers than what they've shown so far this year. Part of Kennedy's problem (aside from nibbling too much and not throwing enough strikes) is probably the fact he's not throwing enough sliders. His average fastball's around 89 MPH and his changeup's about 80 MPH. That's not a huge difference. And those two pitches make up about 84% of his pitches. Last year he threw a lot more sliders and he was much more effective that way. Hughes's problem is similar. He's not throwing enough sliders and changeups. A 91 MPH fastball and a 72 MPH 12-to-6 curveball is a nice combo, but not when you do not supplement that duo with your slider and your changeup because it's easy to distinguish those two pitches.

"The decision (not to obtain Santana) for me is not short-term and it is not one vs. the other and it is not to be determined on May 17 or what the kids do vs. Santana by May 17," Cashman said.

But even in the long-term, the decision only will look worse if Pettitte doesn't get a whole lot better.

The long-term has nothing to do with Pettitte, you idiot. The proposed trade did not involve him. He had a player option which he essentially took (declined it first, but that was just to take more time in making his decision). The proposed trade involved Ian Kennedy and/or Phil Hughes. If Phil Hughes and Ian Kennedy turn out to be flops, then yes it was a bad decision in both the short-term and the long-term not to trade one or both of them for Santana while their values were high. If they turn out to be as good as they appear they can be, then it was the right decision in the long-term. Pettitte does not enter the equation here.

I hate morons.

Thursday, September 13, 2007

More crap B.A.'d like to comment on

Clutch hitting

Awesome article proving that the idea of clutch hitting is stupid. If there are a few things I hate about old school baseball fans, it's their insistence that the best team is the World Series winner, that a pitcher's record is a good way to evaluate how good he is, that guys like Torii Hunter are amazing outfielders simply because they've made some flashy catches, and that clutch hitting is some sort of ability. No, HITTING is an ability. Clutch hitting is no fucking different than just plain hitting. Here are some guys who were considered to be guys who seemed to have a reputation to "rise to the moment" or a "flair for the dramatic".

Paul O'Neill
.288/.363/.470 career regular season
.284/.363/.465 career postseason (299 AB)

Derek Jeter
.318/.389/.461 career regular season
.314/.384/.479 career postseason (478 AB)

Bernie Williams
.297/.381/.477 career regular season
.275/.371/.480 career postseason (465 AB)

David Ortiz
.287/.381/.556 career regular season
.301/.383/.552 career postseason (143 AB)

And this is just looking at postseason numbers, and "clutch" doesn't appear to limit itself to just the postseason. Runners on, 2 outs and RISP, close and late, etc. But does there appear to be a huge difference between regular season splits and postseason splits over a significant sample size? No, motherfuckers. Now, of course some guys' career postseason numbers are lower or higher than their regular season norms over the course of 350 some at bats (see Tino Martinez), but some of that can be attributed to bad luck, and you can also look at the fact that he had several series in which nobody could get him out (see 1995 ALDS, 1998 WS, entire 2000 postseason). If he had even 100 more AB, the chances are pretty good that he would have reverted to the mean and wound up with splits very similar to his regular season career.

And of course, every player has hits that you remember. Jeter's HR off BK Kim, Bernie's HR off Randy Myers, O'Neill's big hit off Rocker in 1999, etc. They "came through in the clutch" as they say because they're excellent hitters and are going to get big hits in key situations at just about the same rate as they do all the time.

Sorry there's been a lack of humor, but I was up at a quarter of 6 this morning and I'm wiped and humorless. You got a problem with that, 'foo?!